Obama's Surprising October Surprise
A Commentary by J. D. Longstreet
The
famous (or infamous) October surprise has become a thing of dread as
presidential elections wind down to the last month, or so, of an
election cycle.
Many are beginning to wonder what Obama will pull out of his magician's hat this fall.
The first thing that springs, instantly, to mind is war.
It's not as if America is not already preparing for war. We are. There
can be no doubt that the presence of such a vast number of US warships
is causing a rise in the waters of the Indian Ocean and the so-called
Persian Gulf. Let us not forget the warships of US allies, too.
US troops are already on the ground in small Middle Eastern nations in
the Persian Gulf area and Eastern Africa as well as US aircraft. Back
in my day we called those pieces of geography "staging areas." Nowadays
we say those same concentrations of combat troops in countries near the
enemy are "forward deployed."
Out in the Indian Ocean air bases leased from US allies are staging
areas for US warplanes and recon aircraft -- and the now ubiquitous
drones.
There can be no doubt that America is rattling its sabres ... loudly.
The preparations for war against Iran has reached such a stage of
readiness in the area that the US could go to war at a moment's notice.
Considering all the above, is it any wonder that many, including yours
truly, feel Obama will commit the US to war this fall? In fact, the
only REAL surprise would be If Obama FAILED to attack Iran prior to the election .
Americans are loath to change Commanders-in-Chief during wartime. Obama
knows this. He will not be, in my opinion, reluctant to use the blunt
force instrument provided him by the US military to help him secure his
second term as President.
Come this fall, if Mr. Obama is behind, or trending behind, in the polls, grab your flak jackets, we will be at war.
Don't misunderstand, I'm all for giving Iran the back of our hand, right
across the chops. But I do detest the idea that American blood might be
sacrificed to secure a politician's political future. That, to be
blunt, just sucks!
If the current polls can be believed, Obama and Romney are in what
amounts to a dead heat. But remember, the REAL campaign has not even
begun.
The GOP is famous for their ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of
victory so, I along with a few million other GOP voters, are deeply
concerned they'll do it again in the contest against Obama.
Conservatives approach politics wearing Hazmat suits. It is a dirty,
filthy, business and we'd really rather be doing something else,
something, well, cleaner. Frankly, we're just not as good wallowing
around in the gutter of politics as are the democrats.
Then there is the fact that every republican candidate must go up
against -- not only the democratic candidate -- but the mainstream
media, which is the propaganda machine of the political left in
America. Republican candidates must fight and win on two fronts --
simultaneously -- to win an election in America.
The point is -- it will be difficult enough to defeat Obama without an
October surprise. With that event, especially a war, it will be darn
near impossible for Romney to defeat Obama and secure the Oval Office.
Now, if an ole swamp rat like yours truly knows that, you can be sure
the political elite on the left know it and, I suspect, have planned
accordingly.
There is one problem, however. That is -- how to drag out a war with
Iran from October past Election Day. US forces should be able to
absolutely decimate and route Iran's military in under two weeks.
Ordinarily that's a good thing. But Obama will need the war to get him
safely past the election before it (the war) ends. THAT will take some
doing.
Unless
the Iranian Revolutionary Guard is made of stronger stuff than Iraq's
Republican Guard within 48 hours of the war's beginning they'll be
looking for an American or Brit, or anyone who LOOKS like an American or
a Brit, and failing that, anyone who might KNOW an American or Brit to
whom they can surrender.
Not to put to fine a point on it, but a quick end to the war could really foul Obama's October Surprise.
In any event, it would behoove the Romney camp to be prepared. But --
how DO you prepare for an unforeseen (even a foreseen) bit of chicanery
by an incumbent socialist president that late in the election cycle?
There is only so much a challenger can do. Challenging a
Commander-in-Chief's decision to take the nation to war -- in advance --
is extremely tricky and full of a host of pitfalls for the challenger.
That's why making war against Iran is so invitingly delicious for
Obama! And THAT'S why I think the October surprise will be an attack on
Iran.
Have you noticed that democratic presidents seem to NEED a way to make
them look more "manly" in the eyes of their base. We are all aware of
the numerous attempts Obama's minions have made to inflate the
masculinity of their Supreme Leader. Had there not been a possible
threat to the national security of the United States, their efforts
toward "puffery" of the Number One Progressive Socialist in America
would have been funny. (Oh, heck. Let's be truthful here. They WERE
funny!)
The endeavor to make a "metrosexual male" look threateningly masculine
is, well, a lost cause. (If you look up metrosexual in the dictionary
you'll most likely find a photo of Obama right beside the definition.)
As I see it, at this point in the campaign, the only move the GOP has is
to make Obama -- and the public -- aware that they EXPECT an October
Surprise from the Obama team. At least that will remove much of the
shock value from any outlandish move the Obama team might feel it
necessary to spring on an otherwise unsuspecting American electorate in
the eleventh hour of this election cycle.
So -- "Heads-Up" America! You have been warned! Come to think of it -- so has Iran.
J. D. Longstreet
*******************
VISIT J. D. Longstreet's
"INSIGHT on Freedom" Face Book Page!!: (Just click on the link for more
conservative commentary by J. D. Longstreet and other popular conservative writers!)
Friday, July 6, 2012
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment